Predicting the UK weather is never easy, but the clever people over at the Met Office try their best—and they’re saying the chance of a hot summer is higher than normal this year. That’s straight after the warmest and sunniest spring on recordtoo!
In their three-month outlook (June 1 to August 31), they’ve looked into the categories that define British weather (temperature, precipitation and wind speed) and warned of an “increased risk of heatwaves and heat-related impacts”.
What are the odds of a hot summer?
It’s basically tossed up right now between a ‘near average’ (50%) and a ‘hot’ (45%) summerwith only a 5% chance the season will be ‘cool’. Usually, an average temperature has a 60% chance, while cool or hot has a 20% chance each. This means that a hot summer is now twice as likely as normal (2.3x).
Enjoy yourself with all the swimming holes, outdoor dining spots, rooftop bars and gorgeous green spaces that London has to offer. But remember, this may mean that the summer is unusually hot, so taking precautions is a must—I recommend following our tips to beat the heat if/when a heatwave next strikes.
What other weather conditions can we expect?
As it stands in the Met Office’s three-month outlook, it’s too close to call on precipitation and wind speed, with ‘near average’ leading the charge in both (60%), with a small edge for ‘wet’ over ‘dry’ and ‘windy’ over ‘calm’ (25% vs 15%). But a wet, windy and hot summer sounds as British as it can get, right?
That being said, take all this with a grain of salt. As this doesn’t guarantee anything. We’re just more likely to experience these weather conditions. In 2020, the Met Office predicted a ‘near average’ summer and then predicted three ‘hot’ summers in a row between 2021 and 2023.. I don’t remember them, do you?
